Nicaragua
Inter-oceanic canal: A wise move?
María Julia Mayoral
Nicaragua could, within a few years,
become a new international logistics and
transportation center, if an inter-oceanic canal
megaproject succeeds in this country blessed with an
enviable geographic location.

Nicaraguan President, Daniel Ortega
and Wang Jing from HKND Group,
after signing the canal framework
agreement. The development has
caused consternation in the Pentagon,
as it challenges U.S. dominance in
the region. |
"Central America sits midway along
both North-South and East-West trade routes," said
Chinese executive Wang Jing during a visit to
Managua, "We believe this is the ideal place for
another link between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans."
The company he leads has been granted a concession
to undertake the canal project.
According to international estimates,
between 2011 and 2025, maritime trade traffic will
increase some 40% and providing a route through
Nicaragua for large cargo ships would provide
significant savings in terms of fuel and days at
sea.
The Hong Kong Nicaragua Canal
Development Investment Group (HKND), with
headquarters in the Chinese city cited and Managua,
is optimistic about the venture, according to Wang
Jing, president and executive director of the
company.
HKND Group received exclusive rights
over planning, design, construction, operation and
management of the canal and other related projects,
including ports, railroads, free-trade zones on both
coastlines, airports and a cross-isthmus oil
pipeline.
"Trends in world trade and maritime
transportation indicate that there is demand for a
new canal. Our intention is to build a world class
project, developed in accordance with the best
international practices," the company announced.
The framework for the concession was
signed in Managua mid-June by Nicaraguan President
Daniel Ortega and the company’s directorate, while
the country’s Parliament approved two pieces of
legislation supporting the agreement.
Experts and established companies
have been contracted to undertake studies of the
project’s environmental, social, financial and
technological feasibility. The British consulting
firm Environmental Resources Management will
independently evaluate the project’s social and
environmental impact, in order to determine the most
appropriate route for such a canal, which could
require five to ten years to construct.
Building a second Central American
canal, substantially larger that the existing one,
makes sense to HKND. Estimates indicate that the
volume of Panama Canal transactions could increase
240% by 2030, while the value of all goods
transported through canals in Panama and Nicaragua
could surpass 1.4 billion dollars.
According to this analysis,
continual growth in trade volume could lead to
congestion in Panama within 10 to 15 years, clearly
suggesting that another route is needed.
As for possible savings, HKND has
estimated that a ship traveling from Shanghai to
Baltimore in the United States, using a Nicaraguan
canal, could shorten its voyage by 4,000 kilometers
in comparison to a common route currently taken
through the Suez Canal and by 7,500 in comparison to
a voyage around South Africa's Cape of Good Hope.
Considering current fuel prices, an average-sized
container ship could save a million dollars on one
round trip using a new canal.
Preliminary estimates indicate that
a new inter-oceanic canal could capture maritime
traffic carrying 450 to 500 million metric tons of
goods and serve ships up to 250,000 tons, 400 meters
long and 59 wide, with draughts of up to 22 meters.
Paul Oquist, the Ortega
administration's secretary for public policy
believes that the canal will allow Nicaragua to
practically double its gross domestic product (GDP)
by 2018 and triple formal employment. With the
beginning of necessary studies and works associated
with the canal next year, Oquist estimates the GDP
could increase by 10.8% and by 12.6% in 2016, to
subsequently stabilize around 9.5 to 10% annual
growth by 2018.
NATIONAL SOVEREIGNTY DEFENDED
Nicaragua granted a concession for
construction and future operation of the canal, but
did not privatize its territory. Additionally, the
state is participating as a partner and its
ownership share will expand over time, Oquist
clarified.
The concession granted the Chinese
company is for 100 years but should not compromise
national sovereignty, since the country will hold
51% ownership within 50 years, according to Deputy
Foreign Minister Manuel Colonel Kautz, who is
heading Nicaragua's Gran Canal Authority.
A canal connecting the Pacific and
Atlantic oceans through Nicaragua has been a long-standing
dream, one which was frustrated by foreign interests
in the early 1900's, added Francisco Mayorga, the
country's representative to the Inter-American
Development Bank.
The 1914 Chamarro-Bryan Treaty
mortgaged national territory to the United States
government, effectively preventing the development
of a canal similar to Panama's within Nicaragua, the
official explained.
The United States had used its
military and economic power to force Nicaragua to
forego constructing a canal without U.S.
participation, to protect its interests in the
Panamanian isthmus, Mayorga concluded. (Orbe)
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