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I N T E R N A T I O N A L

Havana.  September  24, 2014

Scotland votes No, but a growing movement for change is born

Catriona Goss & Natalie Howard

On September 18, 2014 Scotland voted "No" to independence from Great Britain, with 2,001,926 voters against separation and 1,617,989 supporting it (55.3% to 44.7%). Although the result is disappointing for many and, whilst many on the left were spilt over whether to support Scottish independence or not, the process has lead to massive political mobilization across the country - with a record 84.5% voter turnout according to official statistics - leading to hopes for a continued movement for change.

The origins of Scottish independence are historic and complex; however, the Thatcherite policies of the 1980´s and their effects were perhaps the key stimuli for independence over the last 25 years. The policies, largely based on privatization, eroded much of Scottish industry, its unions and its political base, leading some critics to claim that it was used as a “Petri dish for free market experiments ahead of England.” In this context, the Scottish National Party led by Alex Salmond which has always favored separation gained in popularity, securing the majority in parliament by 2011 and winning an agreement with Conservative British Prime Minister David Cameron’s coalition government to hold the September 18 referendum. 

According to reports from the Herald Scotland, the Scottish National Party’s membership has soared by almost 17,000 since the referendum was held, whilst 3,000 people have joined the Scottish Green Party, which also supported the Yes campaign. The media campaign was strongly in favor of maintaining the union, with the Sunday Herald being the only Scottish newspaper to support the Yes campaign.  The scaremongering by the press, Bank of England, EU and Westminster elite was ultimately victorious in convincing the majority of Scots that independence would mean they were worse off. 

However, the results were nonetheless indicative of a growing rejection of austerity policies imposed by Westminster, with the four areas to have voted yes (Glasgow, Dundee City, West Dunbartonshire and North Lanarkshire) being the poorest and having the largest unemployment levels. The figures also showed a split between older and younger generations, with 71% of 16 – 17 year olds, who were able to vote for the first time (previous voting age was 18), supporting independence; compared to just 27% of the over 65s, leading First Minister Alex Salmond to accuse older Scots of impeding progress for younger generations. Despite the result the referendum has sparked off what many hope to be sustained political engagement especially within the younger generation. The recently created campaign group "We are the 45%" - in reference to the percentage of people who voted Yes -  aims to do just that, by using social media to continue to push for independence.

Salmond was quick to respond to the result by resigning, both as First Minister and leader of his party, a role he has been in for 20 years.  Speaking at his residence at Bute House, Edinburgh, he said, "The last seven years as first minister of Scotland has been the privilege of my life but…for me as leader my time is nearly over. But for Scotland, the campaign continues and the dream shall never die".  Salmond will stand down in November, with deputy leader, Nicola Sturgeon, likely to take over party leadership. Sturgeon has become a commanding figure in the independence campaign after being appointed by Salmond to lead the referendum process.

British Prime Minister David Cameron congratulated the Scottish people on choosing to remain part of the union, stating, “it would have broken my heart to see our United Kingdom come to an end,” and pledged to keep to his promises of increased devolution to the Scottish parliament. However, Cameron has faced a backlash from backbenchers over increased powers to Scotland, and constitutional reforms will only happen if the Conservatives win the next General Election.

The promises of more power for the Scottish people have reignited the calls for devolved powers to other regions of England, Wales and Northern Ireland.  The pressure for change was evident in Cameron’s speech, where he stated, "Just as Scotland will vote separately in a Scottish parliament on their issues of tax, spending and welfare, so too England as well as Wales and Northern Ireland should be able to vote on these issues, and all this must take place in tandem with and at the same pace as the settlement for Scotland.”

An indication of this was Cameron’s announcement that he intends to fast track reforms meaning that Scottish members of the Westminster parliament will be unable to vote on issues which solely affect England, with the prospect of similar measures in the future for Welsh and Northern Irish MPs.

Indeed the Scottish independence struggle is reflected across Europe and beyond, with similar movements in Quebec, Catalonia, Bavaria and the Ukraine.  Many of these movements demonstrated their support for the Yes campaign in the lead up to the referendum and have vowed to continue their own struggles.

Despite the defeat, the referendum has clearly marked Scotland and the future of the United Kingdom.
 

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