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THE 2012 ELECTIONS IN THE UNITED STATES
Evening with seven mini-dose candidates
Ramón Sánchez-Parodi
Montoto *
IN the evening of June 13, in the
quasi-medieval atmosphere of Saint Anselm College in
Manchester, New Hampshire, a liberal arts university
founded by the Saint Benedict Order in 1889, seven
politicians were presented to enter – given their
number and the media coverage – what could be
considered the beginning of the battle within the
Republican Party for the nomination of the
presidential candidate for the November 2012
elections.
The candidates had already made
their obligatory approach to the front men of U.S.
economic interests in order to obtain financial
backing for their campaigns. While these contacts (a
kind of necessary ordeal) are a known political
practice in the country and the main source of
direct funding of what are extremely costly election
campaigns – in the case of presidentials running
into hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars –
the details of these encounters are never made
public, in particular commitments or agreements of a
political nature guaranteeing the basis of this
economic support.
The contacts take place in strict
confidentiality in order not to tarnish the supposed
democratic nature of these electoral proceedings.
But it is a fact that these bonds between potential
candidates and the formal or informal
representatives of large business interests are a
necessary, while insufficient condition, for a
candidate to underwrite his or her political
campaign.
In July, all the presidential
candidates have to account to electoral authorities
for funding that they have received directly (funds
that supposedly non-party organizations spend in
indirect support of a candidate do not have to be
registered). At that point we will cover in more
detail this extremely important and fundamental
aspect of the not at all democratic U.S. elections.
The presidential debate was
broadcast live at peak viewing time by CNN and was
additionally sponsored by the New Hampshire Union
Leader newspaper and WMUR-TV, both local.
It lasted two hours and the seven
candidates present were: Mitt Romney, ex-governor of
Massachusetts and luckless aspirant to the
presidential elections in 2008, in the lead
according to opinion polls; Tim Pawlenty, ex-governor
of Minnesota and a finalist among Republican
candidates in 2008, when John McCain was assessing
him as his vice president; Congresswoman Michele
Bachmann, also for Minnesota and a favorite of the
Tea Party movement; Newt Gingrich (caught up in a
run of political bad luck which could put him out of
the contest); Herman Cain, former business executive
and a political TV commentator; Rick Santorum,
former Senator for Pennsylvania; and Ron Paul, ex-Congressman
for Texas and a veteran leader of the minute
libertarian tendency.
Absent from the event were three
other pretenders: Jon Huntsman, Obama’s ex-ambassador
to China and former governor of Utah who, it is said,
is to announce his aspiration on June 21 standing in
front of the Statue of Liberty as Ronald Reagan did
in 1980; Rick Perry, governor of Texas, who could be
a strong candidate if he decides to join the process;
and Sarah Palin, star of the Tea Party movement,
running mate of John McCain in 2008 and former
governor of Alaska, who has not as yet decided
whether to stand.
According to a June 13 Gallup poll
published before the debate, Romney has a
comfortable 24% advantage over the other candidates
among Republican voters, followed by Sarah Palin
with 16%; Cain, 9%; Paul, 7%; Pawlenty, 6%; Santorum,
6%; Bachmann, 5%; Gingrich, 5%; Huntsman, 1%; and
Perry, 1%. Apart from Romney, none of these
politicians has more than a 10% preference. A
veritable game of mini-doses.
Given that, with the exception of
Romney, none of the aspirants is known at national
level, everyone’s objective was to present a
pleasant front to television viewers, and so they
avoided attacking each other (in particular the
leader, Romney). Neither did they go deeply into
electoral issues other than to criticize Obama for
the economic situation, unemployment and the health
system.
The general opinion in the U.S.
press is that Romney profited most from the debate
and that Bachmann managed to seize the highest
personal advantage when, in her initial speech, she
surprisingly announced that she had already begun
the paperwork to formalize her presidential
aspiration and captivated conservative Republicans
with the most attractive performance. In terms of
the others, to be noted was Pawlenty’s failure to
take the opportunity to confront Romney to his own
advantage, and the anodyne participation of Gingrich,
Santorum and Paul.
In terms of Gingrich, an expert in
managing political and electoral dodges, things have
not gone well for him and he might well be on his
way out. His campaign team abandoned him en masse
just before the debate because of what Gingrich
himself described as differences in campaign
strategy. And, right after it, the ABC network made
public that a non-profit organization exempt from
taxes created by Gingrich, registered under the name
of Renewing American Leadership and dedicated to
promoting faith, the family, freedom and free trade,
paid another profit-making Gingrich company $200,000
for crates of books and DVDs produced by a third
company, also owned by the politician. Specialists
on the matter say that this is in violation – if not
of the letter – at least of the spirit of
legislation regulating relations between non-profit
organizations and companies.
The debate called attention to the
positions of most of these politicians on the U.S.
wars in Afghanistan and Libya, to which the last 15
minutes of the program were dedicated. As opposed to
the typical bellicose posture of conservative
Republicans, on this occasion a less belligerent and
aggressive position was perceived and mentioned by
commentators, with the candidates distancing
themselves from continuing wars. Romney said that it
was time to bring the troops home as soon as
possible, while making that conditional on the views
of military chiefs on the ground. Pawlenty said that
the U.S. mission in Afghanistan is not to stay there
for ever or for 10 years more in order to
reconstruct the country. Bachmann’s view was that
Obama’s decision to involve the United States
militarily in Libya was a substantial error.
Gingrich said that the price label is always a
factor when deciding whether to get involved in a
military action.
For the moment, these statements
have to be interpreted as the electoral campaign
strategies of the Republican aspirants, in the midst
of an ongoing confrontation between Congress and
Obama on the interpretation of the Congress
Resolution of 1973 on war powers, concerning which
Republican John A. Boehner, president of the House,
has sent a letter to Obama, ordering him to give an
explanation of U.S. actions in Libya to Congress on
the basis of what is established in the 1973
resolution, by June 17, or to stand up to a
confrontation between the legislative and executive
power as to the constitutional authority of one or
the other.
This is the situation of the
electoral campaign. There is still a long way to go,
seven months before the first primaries between the
Republican aspirants and much water to flow under
the bridge, but the starting pistol has sounded.
Meanwhile, the electoral financiers will continue
observing the conduct of the candidates in order to
decide where their money is best placed.
*Head of the Cuban Interests
Office in the United States from 1977 to 1989, and
deputy minister of foreign affairs.
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